Analyst prophesies financial success for Fallout 3

Section8 said:
Fallout 3 will certainly get a lot of hype and shift a lot of copies - maybe it belongs on that list - but I don't think it will do as well as expected.
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I agree... I think Fallout 3 will fall into "neither here nor there" mentality. Unless they have an absolutely brilliant marketing campaign, the Walmart crowd won't know what to think of it, and the hardcore fans already alienated it.
 
I think Bethesda will still manage to pull a lot of the Oblivion people to buy Fallout 3, as well as people who might have fond memories/have liked what they've heard of Fallout but haven't played them recently (and doesn't care all that much) or haven't played them at all.

I don't think it will do as well as Oblivion though. Perhaps Bethesda will prove me wrong (I wouldn't be surprised), but while the game might not be as 'hardcore' as the older Fallouts, I think it will be more hardcore and more of a cRPG than Oblivion which might cause agitation.

Also, even if Fallout 3 does well, I think "suspicions" of Bethesda will go up a lot after its release. While most reviewers will likely give it a good score, and do the whole "don't worry hardcore fans, it really is good, we PROMISE!!" thing, there will very likely be a lot of discussion on the hardcore fans view of the game. I think Bethesda has already hurt themselves with Oblivion from this perspective, and if it continues with Fallout 3 it might really hurt the companys credibility in the long run.

I for one hope that fans will vote with their pocketbooks with this game and don't buy the game *if* they don't like what they're hearing and don't buy the game with reasons like "it's supporting the Fallout name".
 
Yes, thanks to greedy enterprising corporate shennanigans, the game industry is now much akin to mutual funds.

Put out a crapload of games with as little investments as possible and hope to make a killing. Nevermind that same kind of action is ruining the reputation of the gaming industry and possibly causing an influx of overly stupid games.

I hope this doesn't continue or we might just have another video game bust like in the early eighties. Too many shit games out there with no end in sight. The customers just gave up.
 
DarkCorp said:
Yes, thanks to greedy enterprising corporate shennanigans, the game industry is now much akin to mutual funds.

Put out a crapload of games with as little investments as possible and hope to make a killing. Nevermind that same kind of action is ruining the reputation of the gaming industry and possibly causing an influx of overly stupid games.

I hope this doesn't continue or we might just have another video game bust like in the early eighties. Too many shit games out there with no end in sight. The customers just gave up.
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I am more inclined to say it's more akin to the movie business of the last 6 years or so, as opposed to mutual funds. Hell it even applies to the music industry as well.

A lot of shit, not a whole lot of really original titles imo. Lots of rehashes of the same junk and re re re re re makes of movies. Cookie cutter music, movies, and games are starting to get sad and depressing. My minds starting to haze over since i've not been literally blown away but the industry in some time. Time for the industry to collapse and start to rebuild.
 
Common! Stop with the rectal... rectoral... rhetorical questions! True RPG? WTF's that?
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Answer is preety simple actually. True c(omputer)RPG is a game where succeses of PC (player character) are depending on PC's stats and players decisions. Both short range (like 'which enemy should I atack?') and long range ones ('which perk will be useful in the future?'). F3 is... not 'will be'... it is an action RPG because succeses are dependend on player agility more than on agility of player's character. Oblivion was the same.

Of course action RPG mustn't be worse than cRPG. There were true cRPG's centered on combat and with simple story (like Icewind Dale), and aRPG's with better story and more of roleplay than most od RPG's (like Deus Ex).

You may still hope that F3 would have marvelous story, world etc. but do understand that it is an action RPG - not the same genre like F1 and F2.
 
Hi Augustus,

Well the story of Fallout 3 will probably be a collection of cliches too. We now have the 'Good' Brotherhood of Steel, the 'evil' Super Mutants/Outcasts, and I am pretty sure that the Ghouls will be turned into zombies.
 
But still we should look differend at things that "will probably be" than those about which we can be 100% sure (like F3 being an action RPG).

IMHO it still can be good action RPG in fallout-like (and only 'fallout like') setting.
 
If history repeats itself, Bethesda's PR machines will go full throttle to bomb every media when Fallout 3 is release, and ends-up with not many people replay it. Like Oblivion.
 
DarkPhilly said:
I am more inclined to say it's more akin to the movie business of the last 6 years or so, as opposed to mutual funds. Hell it even applies to the music industry as well.

A lot of shit, not a whole lot of really original titles imo. Lots of rehashes of the same junk and re re re re re makes of movies. Cookie cutter music, movies, and games are starting to get sad and depressing. My minds starting to haze over since i've not been literally blown away but the industry in some time. Time for the industry to collapse and start to rebuild.
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Yet the movie industry is better than it has ever been, and their are brilliant diamonds all about if you dig deep enough.

They are just buried in a sea of mediocrity... but if you know how to look, they're there and thriving. I wouldn't call most of them financial successes, but that is irrelevant as long as true artists and visionaries still continue to come into existence.

I see the same thing happening to games.
Although we are currently in the era of games that the 80's was to movies. So wait it out, and ideally it will be improved as the medium becomes more and more universally accepted, and more intelectuals flock to it as a means of expression.
 
Those "best game ever" hyperboles are driving me nuts.

PS: Only four major publishers? That isn't good...
 
There is no doubt in my mind that Fallout 3 will sell like the shitz.



I really look forward to hearing Yaahtzses bashing of it
 
I hope they not made game only for financial succes. This could lead to go wrong way: concentrate on special effects which make that product "look good" ,but somehow could be unplayable. Ofcourse even if whole game will be wrong, many fans just "must have it"
 
I agree with Mike Hickey. But only Fallout 3 looks ugly than Metro 2033 very like on Fallout action too.... And this very pathetic.
I hope bethesda will be best.....
 
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