Witchlock said:
Those numbers don't include presales.
They don't? You sure?
Also, 40 million would be a fair but pretty high estimate. We don't really know their production cost, but it can be anywhere between 25-45 million USD including licensing and PR.
iridium_ionizers numbers are completely wrong for a variety of reasons. Rule of thumb is you need to sell 1 million copies full price to recuperate a production cost of 20-25 million USD. NPD numbers as a rule are about half of real sales (probably less than half now with non-US markets growing faster than the US and digital sales also being more of a factor), so they should've hit said 1 million at the very, very least.
