Huh... an MMO division, that's about as high a risk venture as I can think of right now, if it's not the cool new kid on the block when it hits... ouch....
And then the problem of what brand will they develop, I'd guess TES, but I just don't see how they could get the player base away from Blizzard whose main advantage is it's 8mil subscriber base, and it's fan interaction, and that pesky habit of giving series fans what they want (*grumbles about Starcraft 2*).
Beth take on Blizz in the MMO business? I give it long odds, say 5:1.
Perhaps if they plan to aim for another market, Europe?, Asia?, I'm pretty sure Korea is about taken with the Lineage games...
I know Zenimax can absorb the 70mil+ (I think 90 mil is a more realistic number for anyone serious about taking on the giants); however I question how many times they could absorb a miss of that size.
Right now I'd put FO3 as a coin-flip, and if that misses it's another 60mil dollar 'we missed it'.
This should be interesting, perhaps Pete will scheme a deal where some nextgen-2 or nextgen-3 console will come pre-installed with the MMO and set to automatically deduct the fee as part of the monthly service charge.
This has a fair chance of being one of the key moments the industry looks back to and says, "And here is where they really started to go downhill..." Of course it could also be the point when Beth "Made the bold move that took it to the top of the indusrty," I just give that longer odds...
This should be interesting to watch.
*IMHO, if they get the dialogue right (I know it's questionable, what with dumb dialogue already axed), but anyways if the dialogue is rich enough with enough options and skill integration, I can see FO3 hitting.
Edit: typos