Hassknecht said:
Two years ain't a long time. Do you really think that Fallout 3 will have a big community in ten years? With a lot of modders who basically redo the whole game, because the mechanics are so intriguing and the possibilities are so rich?
Yes, I do. And actually, two years is a long time these days. Fallout 3 has consistently been in the "Top 20 played" games on both xbox and Windows live for that entire time. While two years doesn't seem long, you have to consider that these top 20 titles are new releases that either come and go as quickly as newer games come out or are multi-player games that see a lot of online time:
http://majornelson.com/archive/2010/09/08/live-activity-for-week-of-aug-30.aspx
Fallout 3 is neither new or multi-player and is the only title on the list that holds its position purely on single player.
Hassknecht said:
I don't think it will be remembered that much. It's like a summer hit in popmusic. For a short time nobody gets it out of his/her head, but then... Nobody cares. There are millions of other games pretty much just like it, quick, satisfactory gameplay, but without any depth. With New Vegas coming up, less people will care about Fallout 3, and then it's popularity will slowly fade away. "Game of the year" doesn't mean anything anymore.
That's an easy argument to flip around when you think about any classic '80s/'90s music that people continuously go back to listen to, many of which were "summer hits". If people reflect on the game, think back to it or in anyway remember it... well, that's the purpose of this thread isn't it? Will Fallout 3 be remembered?
Hassknecht said:
Fallout 1/2 on the other hand are more unique in their gameplay and their world (Fallout 3 shares the latter, but in my opinion it can be considered a whole new game with no connections to the original series) and are still popular and will stay popular for several more years.
This isn't surprising, your view of Fallout as a whole comes as someone who exists on a primarily Fallout 1/2 fan oriented web site. Fallout 1/2 were decent games and did have the uniqueness/depth that you speak of... but they aren't as popular as you may believe. You will find many people who disagree, right here,
on this website. Which perhaps is the point I'm getting at (in this paragraph). This place is a social vault. The outside world has largely forgotten about these titles. They still have their isolated fan base, which one could expect Fallout 3 to continue to have at a minimum.
Hassknecht said:
New Vegas with it's connections to the original two games might even draw some more attention to them.
So, Fallout 3 won't survive. At least not it's main storyline. People will use it as a sandbox, but with NV, even that might fade.
That door swings both ways. New Vegas will likely draw more attention to Fallout 3 than 1 or 2.
If Fallout 1/2 are even half as popular as Fallout 3 in 10 years, I will come back and post pictures of me severing my own hand and
eating it.