2012 American Election (Presidential and otherwise)

Joelzania said:
Here's a question for all you Americans:
When the United Kingdom holds it's elections for the next Prime Minister, do all of your news venues shut down just to hear about the elections over the other side of the pond? I live in another country and I could not escape the news whatsoever. I know the US and UK have close ties but the way the news goes about it it is the only thing that matteres in the whole world...

Depends on the circumstance of your elections. If it is a blow out the news channels don't give a single crap about them. But if they know it is going to come down to the wire then we get the "UK ELECTIONS ARE DOWN TO THE WIRE AND WHAT WILL IT MEAN FOR AMERICA!" for 2 weeks or so.

They also like to pick one candidate as say he is dick over and over.
 
This Year's Gold Standard?

This Year's Gold Standard?




Perhaps the marijuana initiatives will legitimize a  budding cottage industry.

Home grown prosperity, then, a chicken in every pot, now, pot in every pot!

Acapulco Gold a new gold standard, or another value added commodity?

Just old enough to know the power of addictions, :(. whether it be consumer debt, or heady consumables.

Oh well.

Maybe controlled substances are better left at a glittering distance.

Forever greener on the other side of reality. ;)

Drifting back to mature themes,

at least this yellow icon gets to stay at his status quo.

Sunny daze chasing the clouds away … [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7F__UKmOwZ0&feature=fvwrel[/youtube]






4too
 
TheWesDude said:
so the us elected a president that:

1) failed on his promise to reduce the deficit and instead raised it more in 4 years than bush did in 8

2) failed to reduce the unemployment to 5% and instead it sits at 7.4% or 7.9%

3) raised taxes on the lower and middle class ( obama care ) for those who cannot afford private health insurance and do not get it from their company

4) successfully bailed out big business that crashed due to policies and laws passed primarily under clinton and not repealed

5) in 2002 while senator voted AGAINST a deficit cap increase ( it passed by 52-48 ) which is the largest thing keeping the US from declaring bankruptcy and insolvency which is where greece and spain are heading.

6) promised he would not run for a second term if he failed at 1, 2, 3, and 4

7) successfully killed osama bin laden by violating another soverign countries air space, but they hated us before so no big loss there eh? other than they hated us before and have been home to terrorists that have successfully striked US assets/people both home and abroad


The fail. I cant. Oh God help us.

1. Every country in the West has a deficit, even in the UK in which we have severe austerity, we are still borrowing 16billion a month in a country with 60million population. If Obama stopped borrowing to stop raising the deficit your entire country would fall apart tomorrow.

On the topic of the economy, jobs have increased something like 8 months consecutively now.

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2. As mentioned above, unemployment is dropping, not as fast as would be ideal, but we are in a global recession the likes of which we have not seen in 50 years, something which was caused by the bush administration 4 years ago. The republicans cause a crisis, and because Obama can't clean it up fast enough he's a bad guy?

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3. Your complaining people who can't afford insurance get healthcare? It's incredible to anyone in other first world countries that America has a private health care system, in some scandanavian countries the healthcare approval is 90% plus, here its about 60%. All across Europe the statistics will show you, our national healthcare schemes work. And we have a private option if you so choose.

Also; stop calling it "Obamacare" you lower the iq of the whole forum.

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4. So Obama successfully bailing out big business is a bad thing? So, if he hadn't bailed them out that would have been great?

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5. I can hardly tell what you mean due to your grammar, I know mines not perfect but that's unintelligible. Obama's 2002 vote was made in an entirely different economic climate. economics is a dynamic beast.

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6. Now your' being boring.

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7. *yawn*

EDIT:

when was the last time the UK or France or Russia just decided to invade a country?

when was the last time they decided to bomb other countries?

UK, France Italy and several other countries started a massive bombing campaign against Libya only last year. Russia invaded Georgia about 3 years ago, and they only pulled out of Afghanistan 10 years before we went in. On that topic the UK and France have been in Afghanistan for 11 years, and were also involved in Iraq. Before that the UK was involved in the Falklands war, the Gulf War, a war in Oman, and several others.





Nice try Dick Morris, but I know it's you.
 
3. Your complaining people who can't afford insurance get healthcare? It's incredible to anyone in other first world countries that America has a private health care system, in some scandanavian countries the healthcare approval is 90% plus, here its about 60%. All across Europe the statistics will show you, our national healthcare schemes work. And we have a private option if you so choose.

Also; stop calling it "Obamacare" you lower the iq of the whole forum.

Not to mention that the US's health care is more expensive, proportionally, then any other in the West, including the super-financed ones that cost nothing or almost nothing up-front. So you have a health care that bleeds both the State AND the people dry, and causes absolutely ridiculous amounts of debts, conflicts, and downright refused operations. But nooo, don't you dare reform it, it's perfect!

Not that Obama's reform was perfect or anything. But jesus christ having the bestest equipment and doctors doesn't mean jack shit if only a small part ofthe population can actually use them without putting themselves in debt for life.
 
Mad Max RW said:
I live in Connecticut, the heart of Democrat country. My state is completely broke. Their answer to this is always raise taxes. We already have the highest taxes in the nation, and the next tax hike in January will be the highest ever at over $5,600. My own business is calling in all the accountants and lawyers tomorrow to decide if we should bother staying open another year.

Wait what? When did connecticut get the highest tax rates? I live there too and we're lower than neighboring states. New York has a high bracket of 8.97%, New Jersey has a high of 8.97%. That's not even getting into California.
 
Threepwood said:
TheWesDude said:
5) in 2002 while senator voted AGAINST a deficit cap increase ( it passed by 52-48 ) which is the largest thing keeping the US from declaring bankruptcy and insolvency which is where greece and spain are heading.

4. So Obama successfully bailing out big business is a bad thing? So, if he hadn't bailed them out that would have been great?

That's funny since in 2002 he was a State Senator in Illinois at the time and wouldn't be elected for the United States senate until 2004. I know this because I live there.
 
Ilosar said:
3. Your complaining people who can't afford insurance get healthcare? It's incredible to anyone in other first world countries that America has a private health care system, in some scandanavian countries the healthcare approval is 90% plus, here its about 60%. All across Europe the statistics will show you, our national healthcare schemes work. And we have a private option if you so choose.

Also; stop calling it "Obamacare" you lower the iq of the whole forum.

Not to mention that the US's health care is more expensive, proportionally, then any other in the West, including the super-financed ones that cost nothing or almost nothing up-front. So you have a health care that bleeds both the State AND the people dry, and causes absolutely ridiculous amounts of debts, conflicts, and downright refused operations. But nooo, don't you dare reform it, it's perfect!

Not that Obama's reform was perfect or anything. But jesus christ having the bestest equipment and doctors doesn't mean jack shit if only a small part ofthe population can actually use them without putting themselves in debt for life.

Did you ever wonder *why* it costs so much here? It's a combination of sky rocketing school tuition and hospitals settling bogus lawsuits. Then you have to look up why tuition is so high and why so many hospitals are being sued constantly.

Most private practice doctors spend decades paying off their student loan debt as well as keeping up with new regulations. The tuition rates keep going up because the federal and state governments add new expensive rules for accreditation every year. It varies from a required number of financial aid officers to having a certain class to summer school hours. If they have to pay more for the next year than what they made in the previous they can either make cuts (fire teachers and other workers), close the school, or raise tuition. There's much more to it but that's the gist of it. I know this because I've been working at a university for almost 10 years.

As for the hospital lawsuits look up Tort reform. People take advantage of hospitals by suing them when someone dies or a surgery doesn't go as expected or whatever infinite number of things can happen. I know many people (friends and family) who currently work in the local hospitals in New Haven and the rising number of lawsuits is crippling. Now with people more desperate than ever they are even more eager to sue. It's especially bad at Yale. One of the largest hospitals that has been here for 99 years just closed.

SimpleMinded said:
Wait what? When did connecticut get the highest tax rates? I live there too and we're lower than neighboring states. New York has a high bracket of 8.97%, New Jersey has a high of 8.97%. That's not even getting into California.

It's 12%.
 
Formerk said:
Are you suggesting we kill all the lawyers to bring down healthcare costs?

Killing all the insurance companies would be a better starting point.
 
Man, so many weird arguments in this thread. I'm just going to pick and choose a few of the worst

Mad Max RW said:
If Romney had won we would still see hyper inflation. One way or another it's happening.
No it's not. The dollar is about the most stable coin in the world right now, and investors are begging you to print more money. Being scared of hyperinflation is insane - there's not a single piece of evidence that suggests hyperinflation is likely. In fact, inflation has remained modest throughout the recession (and deflation occurred early in the recession). This pathological fear of inflation is completely irrational.

By the way, one of the effects of inflation would be to discount private debt, which would be kind of useful in an economy where private debt is a massive issue. It would also incentivize capital to actually start investing - you know, a good thing. And that's the whole point of QE3: to signal that they're not just pumping money into the economy now, but will continue to do so. Signalling to investors that now is the time to start investing, and that they won't get screwed by a sudden change in policy once the recession is over.

But to expect hyperinflation? Dogmatic Austrian economists have been arguing that hyperinflation is JUST AROUND THE CORNER for about four years on end now (and in general for much longer). Instead, inflation has remained very modest. That theory has been disproven repeatedly by actual world events. Yet the completely irrational fear persists.

Want another example of the benefits of inflation? Greece and Spain would benefit highly from being able to manage their own currency separately from the Euro, and are actually hurting specifically because they cannot let their currency inflate. But hey, the real danger is inflation, right?

Not to mention that tying all of this to Obama's administration is faulty when basically economic policy has to go through Congress, where Republicans have successfully and consistently opposed most of Obama's economic policies. The exception? Early-recession policies, which have almost universally been successful (the bank and auto-bailout, most notably, have both been great successes).

Similarly, this pathological fear of debt is entirely irrational. The US can borrow almost at a profit right now, because it's the most stable coin in the world. Borrowing money would be very useful: stimulating the economy to get it out of a recession more quickly (like the American Jobs Act would have done - oh whoops, killed by Republicans). Sovereign debt is not a huge issue for countries. Yes, Greece is having issues with its debt - but Greece has many, many more issues than just sovereign debt which created the crisis. Spain's main issue is private, not sovereign debt. And both the Spanish and Greek economy were and are much, much worse off than the American economy.

Seriously, all of this stuff is (macro)Econ 101, yet I see people repeat nonsense like "hyperinflation" over and over again. Austrian economics have been debunked over and over again, guys. Let go of that crack pipe.

TheWesDude said:
3) raised taxes on the lower and middle class ( obama care ) for those who cannot afford private health insurance and do not get it from their company
You mean "made insurance affordable for those who could not afford it before".

Ilosar said:
The thing is, austerity is incredibly unpopular and doesn't really work all the time.
Or ever, for that matter. It didn't work in the 1930s and it hasn't worked the past five years, but hey, keep tolling that austerity bell, UK!

Mad Max RW said:
This is exactly the root of the problem. The day after we went off the gold standard in the 1970s we set ourselves up for a huge fall decades later. Look what China is doing today. They are buying up all the world's precious metals because they know what is coming. Similarly, Governor Rick Perry of Texas is calling in all of his state's gold supply held in New York and is stockpiling it in their own bank. Last year they bought more than $1 billion in gold bars.
Ahahahahahahahahahahahhahhahaha no.
You do realize that gold is just another currency, right? It has no practical value, and its value stems solely from the fact that people have agreed among each other that it should be valuable. It is, effectively, money -- and a gold standard is hence nothing more than an arbitrary pegging of money to money.

What exactly do you think the effect of having a gold standard in place would be now? Would the housing crisis have been avoided? Would banks not have been able to create complicated derivatives and create massive bets to destabilize the system? Would the massive debts people have accumulated be somehow better because they're fixed in gold?

Of course not! The gold standard does nothing except limit the flexibility of central economic policy. That is a bad thing. In fact, we've seen massively high inflation rates in the past despite the existence of gold standards. Nixon eliminating the last vestiges of the gold standard was a RESPONSE to high inflation, because he couldn't combat it while on the gold standard. But sure, the lack of a gold standard is the cause of the problem and will totally lead to more inflation. :roll: :roll:

Mad Max RW said:
Did you ever wonder *why* it costs so much here? It's a combination of sky rocketing school tuition and hospitals settling bogus lawsuits. Then you have to look up why tuition is so high and why so many hospitals are being sued constantly.
The main reason health insurance is so costly is very, very simple: adverse selection.

In addition, healthcare costs rise because of a lack of insurance. It causes people to go in and out of care with temporary measures, rather than seeing the root cause fixed early, hence avoiding long-term costs. There's also the fact that hospitals have to negotiate with insurers on an individual basis, which adds a gigantic amount of overhead for hospitals while also removing any leverage advantages of scale they would have. This is neatly demonstrated by the Affordable Care Act, which produced large savings by negotiating with insurers directly.

Lawsuits are an issue, sure. The solution to that issue, however, is NOT tort reform, which is incredibly damaging to the system. Tort reform would curb damages - but it also curbs punitive damages. When your company can only be fined $250,000 for violations that bring them a massive profit, well, guess what? They're not going to stop doing shit. And that has huge implications beyond the health care industry.

The Affordable Care Act won't fix all of that, but it's a damn sight better than what was in place before.
 
wow you butchered my post threep

TheWesDude said:
1) failed on his promise to reduce the deficit and instead raised it more in 4 years than bush did in 8

Threepwood said:
1. Every country in the West has a deficit, even in the UK in which we have severe austerity, we are still borrowing 16billion a month in a country with 60million population. If Obama stopped borrowing to stop raising the deficit your entire country would fall apart tomorrow.

On the topic of the economy, jobs have increased something like 8 months consecutively now.

irrelevant, his campaign promise was to reduce the deficit by half, not raise it by almost 5 trillion.

TheWesDude said:
2) failed to reduce the unemployment to 5% and instead it sits at 7.4% or 7.9%

Threepwood said:
2. As mentioned above, unemployment is dropping, not as fast as would be ideal, but we are in a global recession the likes of which we have not seen in 50 years, something which was caused by the bush administration 4 years ago. The republicans cause a crisis, and because Obama can't clean it up fast enough he's a bad guy?

irrelevant, his campaign promise was to get it to 5% or under.

TheWesDude said:
3) raised taxes on the lower and middle class ( obama care ) for those who cannot afford private health insurance and do not get it from their company
Threepwood said:
3. Your complaining people who can't afford insurance get healthcare? It's incredible to anyone in other first world countries that America has a private health care system, in some scandanavian countries the healthcare approval is 90% plus, here its about 60%. All across Europe the statistics will show you, our national healthcare schemes work. And we have a private option if you so choose.

you missed what it was, it introduces a TAX on people who do not have insurance through their company ( because they do not qualify ), or cannot afford it. or are illegal immigrants.

TheWesDude said:
4) successfully bailed out big business that crashed due to policies and laws passed primarily under clinton and not repealed

Threepwood said:
4. So Obama successfully bailing out big business is a bad thing? So, if he hadn't bailed them out that would have been great?

no, this is the one campaign promise he kept.

TheWesDude said:
5) in 2002 while senator voted AGAINST a deficit cap increase ( it passed by 52-48 ) which is the largest thing keeping the US from declaring bankruptcy and insolvency which is where greece and spain are heading.
Threepwood said:
5. I can hardly tell what you mean due to your grammar, I know mines not perfect but that's unintelligible. Obama's 2002 vote was made in an entirely different economic climate. economics is a dynamic beast.

my mistake, it was in 2006 not 2002. and if you think voting against raising the deficit cap is a good thing, you are unaware of the consequences. there are no grammar issues there, you just do not understand the meaning. there is a difference. failing to raise the deficit cap would absolutely crash the global economy. it would make the 2008 global recession feel like "the goold old days".


TheWesDude said:
6) promised he would not run for a second term if he failed at 1, 2, 3, and 4

Threepwood said:
6. Now your' being boring.

dont you mean obama is? that was his campaign promise. or do you feel politicians should not be called out on their bullshit when they spew it?
 
I love how someone from the Netherlands is telling me inflation isn't happening here in America. If a dog is pissing on my leg will you tell me it's just a little bit of rain? Don't talk about something you know nothing about first-hand. It's pathetic watching you Europeans explain what's going on when they have no idea.
 
Mad Max RW said:
I love how someone from the Netherlands is telling me inflation isn't happening here in America. If a dog is pissing on my leg will you tell me it's just a little bit of rain? Don't talk about something you know nothing about first-hand. It's pathetic watching you Europeans explain what's going on when they have no idea.
:roll:
U.S. inflation rate: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi

According to you, the inflation rate that hasn't topped 4% once and has been dropping since the end of '11 is certainly a sign of impending hyperinflation. Sorry, that's bullshit.

That's actual data, not a gut feeling based on "first-hand" experience. Actual large-scale data is a lot more useful to determine what is happening on a macro level than is your own personal intuition.

Besides that, higher inflation would not actually be a bad thing, as it would decrease unemployment (real labor costs go down temporarily), would discount private debt (one of the biggest issues facing the economy) and would give capital a reason to (re-)invest, as capital loses its value over time.


If can you come up with an argument that doesn't consist of personal attacks please let me know so we can have an actual discussion, rather than you insulting me because you don't know the facts.
 
Mad Max RW said:
SimpleMinded said:
Wait what? When did connecticut get the highest tax rates? I live there too and we're lower than neighboring states. New York has a high bracket of 8.97%, New Jersey has a high of 8.97%. That's not even getting into California.

It's 12%.

Can you break that down? I've found 12% in a few places when you factor in all forms of taxes, but it's still listed as less than some other states.

http://taxfoundation.org/state-tax-climate/connecticut

Reports it as 3rd nationally, while the business tax index lists connecticut as 40th (10 states worse) which again, is mostly states surrounding CT, including New York and Massachusetts.

According to here: http://www.cga.ct.gov/2011/rpt/2011-R-0379.htm

We are also lower in income tax.
 
I can tell you right now those official numbers mean NOTHING. They stopped taking into account the cost of living. That's things like food, gas, electricity, the basics of your daily life. All of which have gone up beyond most people's breaking point. I see it every time I buy groceries or pay the monthly bills. The 50 or so people who work under me can barely afford to live here anymore unless we keep giving them raises my business can't afford. Every time the fed prints more money these things get more expensive, but it's never accounted for.

As for being insulting, you are the one who repeatedly laughs off my own life and personal experiences. I don't take offense from it because I know why you do it. And as far as I'm concerned it's pointless having a conversation about this with someone who has a radically different world view. Be that someone living at the other side of the world or a college kid still living on his parents' dime.
 
Mad Max RW said:
It's pointless having a conversation about this with someone who has a radically different world view. Be that someone living at the other side of the world or a college kid still living on his parents' dime.

In Sanders case, it's the same thing.
 
SimpleMinded said:
Mad Max RW said:
SimpleMinded said:
Wait what? When did connecticut get the highest tax rates? I live there too and we're lower than neighboring states. New York has a high bracket of 8.97%, New Jersey has a high of 8.97%. That's not even getting into California.

It's 12%.
It's a shell game, what Connecticut can't get in the rate, they'll take by over-assessing your property. I'd love to know what alternate reality I could actually sell my house in, for the price W. Hartford assess it for. According to them my house continues to appreciate, even throughout the greatest housing disaster, wow!

I don't know that we are more taxed than NY or NJ or Mass though, we're all on the top end.

Sander said:
Mad Max RW said:
I love how someone from the Netherlands is telling me inflation isn't happening here in America. If a dog is pissing on my leg will you tell me it's just a little bit of rain? Don't talk about something you know nothing about first-hand. It's pathetic watching you Europeans explain what's going on when they have no idea.
:roll:
U.S. inflation rate: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi
Small consolation when put in the context of stagnating incomes and rising household expenses. The squeeze is on, doesn't matter how it's parsed.
The repo man doesn't accept textbooks and monopoly money.
 
Mad Max RW said:
I can tell you right now those official numbers mean NOTHING. They stopped taking into account the cost of living. That's things like food, gas, electricity, the basics of your daily life. All of which have gone up beyond most people's breaking point. I see it every time I buy groceries or pay the monthly bills.
You can take any real measure you want, and you'll see that inflation has been very modest throughout the recession. For instance, there's the consumer price index, which consists of, well, consumer prices: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
Nope, nothing even remotely resembling hyperinflation there.

Moreover, that kind of inflation has little to do with the supply of money, given the fact that we're in a liquidity trap.

Again, when you're going to make arguments about the national economy, make sure you base your arguments on data about the national economy. I'm not saying that your own personal experiences didn't happen, but you can't extrapolate from what you experience personally to a much larger system.

This is not about a "different world-view". You're making claims that can be verified trivially easily by data, and your claims quite simply do not line up with what is actually happening. The fact that I'm in Europe does absolutely nothing to change that, nor does the fact that you are personally experiencing something different.
 
no, see, max is confused, and sander is trying to say this isnt the reason...


max says he is experiencing hyper-inflation, yet sander posts researched numbers showing its quite low.

max says his CPI is skyrocketing, sander posts numbers showing a very reasonable rates.

there are numerous things that go into what you are seeing max.

the issues you are seeing do not track with CPI or inflation. maybe what you are seeing has a different cause than you think.

compare what you are seeing against many numbers, and then find out which ones track with what you are seeing, and then you know the cause. such as oil/gas/etc.
 
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