Tagaziel said:
agent_c said:
Ever considered the possibility the normally secretive developer doesn't want to reveal their plans prematurely? $325 is barely a dent in the budget.
Though it iss funny how you illustrate your own point by making a series of assumptions about Bethesda, their legal team, their proceedings etc.
Far more than I ever used for my point.
No, you did a big mistake, to get your figures, you'd need to assume that each item was an annual event that had its day selected at random. Your assumptions made no sense at all.
That Bethesda has 180 days in any registration period isnt an assuption, its a fact. The Registration period is 6 months.
That the previous registration was filed in early feb isn't an assumption, its a fact.
That the period that the registration ends would therefore be at about the same time, is also not an assumption. 1 orginal period + 5 6 month extentions is 36 months. 3 years of protection. Clearly it is due up for reneweal.
It therefore makes sense that they would reregister it close to the original dates, a much much lower chance than simply 1 in 365.
Could they want to keep it a secret, sure. However what makes more sense, that they want to keep it a secret, or they're just doing the same thing they've done for the last 36 months?
You put some minor coming soon thing somewhere where noones going to notice it, and never say another word. Not unlike they did ages before Fallout 3.
Is it possible they're working on a Fallout TV show? Yes. Is it any more likely because of this registration? No, this is status quo. Is it likely at all? I would say no - Bethesda/Zenimax have little to experience in the field, and are already making a pretty big bet by entering the MMO space.
Honestly Tag, I was shocked when I read those "odds" you gave. I know you're a good debater, I've always respected that in you. That you would make such silly maths mistake I found astounding...