Cimmerian Nights said:
Revenue sharing and a hard salary cap are unique cornerstones to the NFL business model intended to produce parity. Not a system of have and have nots.
Yes, but promoting a single team over all others leads to an overall revenue loss, as it leads to a less competitive (and hence less interesting) league.
Look at baseball, I remember that at some point (don't know if it still is) it's highly
Cimmerian Nights said:
That's shallow. Deion Sanders is probably the most electrifying player ever to lace em up. How is watching a shutdown CB not spectacular? It's incredible what they can do. Ed Reed isn't spectacular? Troy Polamalu?
What's an NFL without Darrell Greens, Eric Allens, and Ty Laws?
Well, simply put, defensive play is less spectacular than offensive plays, except in the case of sacks and turnovers, basically. So yes, shutdown corners are less spectacular than Drew Brees passing his team down the field in a 2-minute drill.
But the most relevant part is that passes are more spectacular than runs.
Cimmerian Nights said:
Sports are willing to bend the rules to accentuate the offensive prowess of their cash cow superstars. Whether that's what drives the market is really irrelevant to the result.
I just heard on the radio how Andre Agassi failed a piss test for meth. He wrote a letter of apology with some bullshit excuse and Tennis supressed it.
Why do you think they would do that for Agassi?
He wrote that he had accidentally taken the wrong drink that he was unaware had crystal meth in it, and hence he got away with it.
But yes, that shit happens. Because of the money, succesful players get more breaks than others, they're more willing to forgive and think the best of the great players. But doping and drugs, and full changes to the game itself are miles apart.
Cimmie said:
There has to be a threshhold to this though, otherwise it will turn into Pro-wrestling. "Sports Entertainment" or whatever euphamistic marketing phrase they use.
Well, the limit is what popular opinion will allow for. If the NFL goes too far in promoting the pass and creates a boring league with only blowouts or incompetent games, then there will be a huge backlash. But I don't see that happening.
Cimmie said:
Where were these competitive games you speak of last week?
There were maybe 3 out of the rest were unwatchably uncompetitive blowouts.
From all reports this is only the first year that this has happened. To blame that on those rule changes seems spurious.
Cimmerian Nights said:
No, this was in realtion to the overexpansion/lack of QB talent argument, not rules.
Ah yeah, I don't disagree that there aren't 32 top-level QBs in the league. There probably can't be, but a proper feeder league (like the NFL Europe was, or the CFL and AFL might be) would do wonders.
Cimmerian Nights said:
Yeah, why have defenders at all? Just line up like a home-run derby and let the offense tee off.
I think you missed the 'competitive' note.
Cimmerian Nights said:
Passing is even more successful, productive and effective when you run it out of the play-action with an established running game. They're reciprocal, running opens up the passing game and vise versa.
The game really isn't about how fast you can score, or how many times you can score in 60 minutes, it's about outscoring your opponent.
There's a lot to football offenses, but setting up play action isn't the only thing the run is good for, it's also a game-theoretic necessity so that they can't simply defend against the pass every play, since you could use the run to blast by them on those plays. Screen passes work like that, too, only against blitzes. However, I also think you fall for the same trap that a lot of professional journalists do, which is the idea that you cannot win without the run, and that winning teams always win a lot (actually, most of the running the winning teams do is running out the clock).
Football Outsiders has a ton of interesting stuff on this kind of look at the game.
Cimmerian Nights said:
Never said they abandoned it. And they don't use the run to set up the pass, there's no need to, they succeed pretty well without it.
And passing is not more effective if your QB can't complete more than 50% of his passes.
New Orleans, with arguably the best passing attack, won two games (vs Buffalo and the Jets) while largely ignoring the pass and pounding the ball through their defenses with the run.
Also, your last statement there isn't really true. If a QB can only complete 40% of his passes, but doesn't throw many interceptions and gets a lot of yardage on those 40%, he'll do better passing than running.
Cimmerian Nights said:
No, there's nothing more stodgy and boring than run-of-the-mill running games.
I'm arguing for contraction. When you have a Manning, Brees, Brady, it's all good. What about the other 25 teams? Anderson, Russell and Johnson sure aren't efficient passers in my book. They're pretty maladroit passers
Well, most of the teams with mediocre passers don't try to pass as much. But those are also generally the teams, this year, with the shitty defense. Which means that they need to come from behind a lot, which is what forces them to pass more and run less.
Cimmerian Nights said:
Here's another example, along with Bill Walsh, I would cite as innovative minds evolving the game in an organic, progressive manner. Not reactive game planning to comply with or exploit market-driven league rules.
Yes, but these things aren't mutually exclusive.
Cimmerian Nights said:
Because they tell the story of a clearly inferior, reckless QB, when under the new rules, benefitting to the point of surpassing his clearly superior HOF predecessor.
Jake Plummer was fun to watch, especially back in his ASU days. I like him, but he was sloppy and not in Elway's league.
So your complaint is that he got more yardage than Elway, while it was in a completely different era?
That's a pretty lame complaint. Who the hell cares that some mediocre passer got more yardage, when if you look at all the other stats it's clear he's inferior?
Similarly, there's a ton of records in European football that won't ever be broken, mostly old scoring records. Because simply, play at that time was at a much lower level, especially defensively, so those records are basically impossible to break now. The game of European football is vastly different now from 30 years ago, in part due to rule changes, in part due to a better understanding of the game and simply increased level of play. Sports change and evolve, meaning that some old records can't be broken, and others will be broken quickly by inferior players. It's in the nature of sports.
Cimmie said:
If there's a conflict of interest for him, there's one for every single person on the committee.
I guess that's the closest thing to an answer either of you will give me.
Well, yes.
Cimmie said:
I'm not saying they're irreplaceable now. But they will be, just wait. Props to Jimmy Brown and Barry Sanders for going out on their own terms, instead of lingering around like a bad case of VD like Edgerin James.
But what does this have to do with the rule changes?
Cimmie said:
That's speculative and assuming they're sitting on the sideline resting or something. They'd probably be kept in for pass protection,
The NFL doesn't work that way, you milk the RB for all he's worth and dump his ass to some desperate, unsuspecting team before he's comlpletely spent. That's the modus operandi of a shrewd NFL GM.
Yep.
But there's quite a bit of statistical analysis of the idea that RBs decline after peak years, notably on Football Outsiders and
Advanced NFL Stats as a reply. Whether or not it is due to overuse in the season, or simply that the position of RB naturally only has a very small number of peak years doesn't really matter: it's a fact of life that RBs can't compete for as long as QBs, simply because of the nature of the position.