Jesuit said:
While I agree with your sentiments from a game quality point of view. Brilliance doesn't really fit into a metric. While that gambit my pay off once in a while no one with any business sense would actually invest money in it. When you're rolling the dice every 2 years and one bad result means you lose all your money, you tend to make conservative bets.
I don't necessarily disagree with you from a game company's perspective, but the reality is that all the rules and logics of such professional gambling on our hypothetical dice table cannot eliminate the possibility of someone, somewhere coming in and betting it all on one toss, if you take my meaning. It's the human equation that screws such science up: we're not always rational. I never said it was likely. But we don't
know it
can't happen. Or 'couldn't', or 'wouldn't'.
By the same token, we don't know that Bethesda is going to have stellar success with this title. It might be an abysmal failure. Not likely, but it isn't certain.
Jesuit said:
You still see some young companies making splashes with out the level of graphics most people expect, but those are usually relegated to completely new gameplay ideas... certainly not a pretty standard isometric turn based game.
I realize I make the case more doubtful if holding to the concept of 'exact style' (which is really vague if you think about it anyway). But innovation can come in any number of forms, and even within a 'standard' Fallout style game you might have revolutionary concepts related to artificial intelligence, dialog, interfacing, mission generation, customization (character, items, etc.), storyline, setting, and so on. Its possible to see years of advancement in a game and yet still have a template that is supposedly 'outdated'.
The things I like about the good (and few) CRPGs out there are just skeletal frameworks I find pleasing. The rest can change. Especially if its better.
It may all be terribly optimistic. But even now, its possible. There may be a true spiritual sequel one day, even if its not called Fallout (maybe while Beth is making Fallout 6: Mutants On Mars). Some can speculate, some can dream.