A Russian invasion? Against whom? And why? Are you a lunatic or something ... that would mean a third world war. And that wouldn't end well for Russia either. Putin is a MOFO, but he's not an idiot. And neither are his advisors.
Not saying any of that. But the UK can hold on off on its own. Britain can leave and as a great power due to its hard power cannot be bossed around. Now, say, compare that to a relatively 'isolated' nation such as Ukraine. Look what happened there.
LIke I said ... already a couple of times ... this remains to be seen ... negotations have not even started yet. With anyone. The UK might or it might not get better deals. Your guess is as good as anyones here.
The thing is, for the moment, right now, the UK is in a weaker position. How do you make negotations and drade deals when you're in a worse situation? The UKs economy is in a recession right now, there can be no doubts about that. What ever if that was caused by Brexit, the EU or not, doesn't even matter. What matters, is that will take years if not DECADES, before you might achieve this position of power. And no one knows if that might even happen. And what will you do if the Scots really decide to get out of the UK? ... That is a whole powder keg for it self ...
Seroiusly, you could argue that I am to negative, yeah, glass is half full and shit. But you could also say that you're to optimistic as far as this
greener pastures for the Uk without the EU goes.
I think, the only truth is, that no one knows for sure what the situation will be in 5, 10 or 20 years from now.
Ah, your precious Globalisation. Isn't working.
There are populist revolts in loads of countries, especially the dominant superpower (USA). Military power will always be important. The biggest globalist organisation in the world is falling apart.
Dude, I am not talking about this populist idea of globalisation where corporations are just out there to make us slaves. I am just talking about trading and conections between economies and governments. People don't realize that globalisation happens already since the 1920s. If not even earlier. The issues we experience now, have less to do with globalisation but simply that many of our decisions come back to bite us in the ass. That simple. The wars we started all around the world. This
hard power you think is so important has done also a lot of damage. Nothing is only good or only bad. Military internventions come with a price. The readical groups and dictators we supported for economic advantages and the trade deals we made with questionable nations are another issue.
But the people in said nations become more aware about the things that happen around them. If a nation like the US or Britain fucks up the politic in Iran in the 1970s or 60s, what do you think people will do? Just pretend it never happend? That's not how it works I am afraid. You can't support someone like Gadaffi for centuries with weapons, money and resources, and when he's loosing support by a major part of is poulation come in at the last minute to say, we hate dicators! Let's bomb him! Remember why those radical groups hate the US, France and Britain, but not so much Germany.
I am not saying ALL problems on this world are our fault. But we play a very important role here. And when I see how much you brag about military power ... it kinda shows it how strong this mindset is. But it always comes back one way or another. If people can't attack hard targets, they will go for the soft ones. As it is what we saw at 9/11, Paris, Brussel and now Nice.
By the way, how much power would the UK have without the NATO. You're out of Europe maybe, but you're still part of a larger military body/alliance. China has more than 1 billion people ... do you even believe for a second that the UK, on it's own, could compete with them? Hell not even Germany and France together could. We barely get 10% of their population. Combined! There is a reason why the European Union was formed in the 1950s.
And what makes it inevitable. Its not inevitable at all. A couple of years ago we heard all this crap about the tides of globalism lifting all boats. Are you still clinging on to the drivel?
Then go and throw away your Iphone, your computer, your car and pretty much anything else you own, if you're hating globalisation so much. I am sure the UK cann make all of those gods on their own. I mean hey! You really should put your mouth where your word is.
*Mind blown*
. Dare I say it? Cuz we have a parliament! The NATO doesn't.