quietfanatic said:The EU will be the first major competitor with the US for economic and military power.
Make no mistake, friend, as economical power of the EU already far exceeds the American one. As it always has, really. With a population of 750 million, that's really not that much a suprise, too.
But I don't see any reasons to believe that the EU will one day strive to be a military superpower. They might one day form a united army, which I would very much hope for, but they will most likely never build out that army to equal the strength of the American one.
Why? Because they don't need it. And it would only weigh on the economy, anyway. There are different priorities here.
They are well organised and well educated, but will be hindered initially by the poorer Eastern European members. But, they do provide cheap labour,
That makes no sense.
The European economie won't grow because of the cheaper labour available in the Eastern states. The wealth might divide itself more equally, as the Eastern states gain in purchase power as the purchase power of the Western states decline, but as a complete picture the economy will not grow because of that.
And when the wealth has in the end finally been equally divided, only THEN will the European economy as a whole have the chance to move forward again. Yet, by then the labour in the Eastern states will naturally not be any cheaper than labour in the Western states, so that argument is null and void.
and if Turkey gets in, man power for the military.
Why would we need Turkey for that? 750 million people live here already. Or are the Turks more militaristic somehow, perhaps?
I think that all the Franco-German hatred is wishful thinking on America's part.
It is. There isn't a single sign of any historical, cultural or ethnical-based hatred between nations Western Europe anymore. The only friction that forms here is the ones that develop from present day politics, as they do everywhere. The friction between England and the mainland is a good example of that.
India will emerge next, as they have a large and well educated elite which works for peanuts. Vitally, they speak English and have elements of British institutions and democracy which gives them a huge advantage in business. They are already taking over the electronics industry. I find it scary that specialists with the equivalent of a PHD work on a janitor's salary. How do you compete with that? They will still have their problems with ethnic tensions, but money will become more important.
While the Indian people indeed have all requirement necessary to compete in present day capitalism, India will never rise to the level as the Western states do as long as their current Kast system excists. And money will never change that, as it never has. Remember: the Indian seggregation is not class-based, but socially based. You can get as rich as you want as a member of the lower kaste (and may of them are very rich - actualy, the 'elite' Kaste, the Brahmans, might very well be the poorest of all the kastes); you will never rise to the social status of the higher kastes.
Naturally, this forms a logical barrier to all kapitalistic growth.
China will slowly and steadily become a more efficient system and become an economic superpower similar to India, but with the advantage of more government control. Democracy will develop to a small extent until they realise that government control is not an advantage, and communism will quietly and gradually die.
First of all, present day China is about as communistic as my left shoe. Their govenment sytem is fascist (as in: national socialistic, not as in racist or militaristic) at best, but not communistic anymore by far.
Secondly, China already is an economical superpower, and will most likely become as powerfull as the USA in the near future. They might even reach the level of the EU within ten to fifteen years...
From then on, your post becomes quite irrational indeed.