TheWesDude said:
waiting till the last minute will cause severe issues for finding a replacement.
unfortunately that seems the only option.
Don't over estimate collective behaviour. Psychology/instincts have a LOT to do with this. We
are gatherers. Don't brush that off as "primitive" something we have grown out of.
There is an interesting experiment that one can try with a collective, that is, a cooperation between individuals (it works on children and adults alike)
Let's say you have four people around a table, and you give them slightly these slightly ambigious rules - as in - you don't spoon-feed them the premise, but you let them know that:
They must gather candies off a pile from the centre of the table.
For each candy they gather, they may exchange the candy for 1 dollar.
But! Let them know that during Round 2, they will each be granted TWO dollars for each candy.
Then give them the all clear, to gather candies.
What will typically happen is - at least one of them will begin gathering candies before any sort of planning, cooperation, can be done between the contestants. In the real world, this is often what happens, nations will act on their own, without the strict, controlled and _ideal_ cooperation with neighbors.
As soon as everyone else see one gathering like crazy, they all jump in, and before you know it - all candies have been gathered, and there will be no Round 2.
In order to reach Round 2, they would have to agree to _not_ gather candies during Round 1.
For this to happen, the group - as a collective - must quickly stop and control themselves, loudly "WHOA! Everyone hold it!!!"
This is extremely difficult, if not impossible, for a collective of individuals.
It's no different on a global basis. Most of what we do, as nations and collectives, we do out of an instinctive urge to do it. We gather and gather, even if we end up throwing a lot of it away (such as food), we always seek to maximize our yield, wether we need it or not - and we will typically gather untill the last piece - despite knowing well of the concequences.